Why do idiots who dislike Obama say "the leader of the polls in July ALWAYS lost so we're gonna win?" Not true

Question

Let's go back to the 1948 election, all the way back through all the elections of the last 60 years.

1948: Truman (D) vs. Dewey (R). Leader in July: Dewey. Winner: Truman. (July polls incorrect)

1952: Stevenson (D) vs. Eisenhower (R). Leader in July: Eisenhower. Winner: Eisenhower. (July polls correct)

1956: Stevenson (D) vs. Eisenhower (R). Leader in July: Eisenhower. Winner: Eisenhower. (July polls correct)

1960: Kennedy (D) vs. Nixon (R). Leader in July: Nixon. Winner: Kennedy. (July polls incorrect)

1964: Johnson (D) vs. Goldwater (R). Leader in July: Johnson. Winner: Johnson.

1968: Humphrey (D) vs. Nixon (R). Leader in July: Nixon. Winner: Nixon.

1972: McGovern (D) vs. Nixon (R). Leader in July: Nixon. Winner:
Nixon.

1976: Carter (D) vs. Ford (R). Leader in July: Carter. Winner: Carter.

1980: Carter (D) vs. Reagan (R). Leader in July: Carter. Winner: Reagan

1984: Mondale (D) vs. Reagan (R). Leader in July: Reagan. Winner: Reagan.

1988: Dukakis (D) vs. Bush (R). Leader in July: Dukakis. Winner: Bush.

1992: Clinton (D) vs. Bush (R) vs. Perot (I). Leader in July: Clinton. Winner: Clinton.

1996: Clinton (D) vs. Dole (R). Leader in July: Clinton. Winner: Clinton

2000: Gore (D) vs. Bush (R). Leader in July: Gore. Winner: Gore
(popular vote), Bush (Electoral College)

2004: Kerry (D) vs. Bush (R). Leader in July: Kerry. Winner: Bush.

So, out of fifteen elections, the July polls correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote. Pretty good odds for Obama: about a 3-2.

Answer 1

Yes, however, if the numbers drop in July and August from a previous high, that predicts a loss.

Answer 2

What does this have to do with the price of tea in China? Ever hear of a coincidence regarding political statistics in an election year?



What are you trying to say anyway? Obama is a known habitual LIAR and a fraud. When the Rev Wright scandal first broke, he admitted to having prior knowledge about his offensive sermons of the past. That was announced at a press conference on a friday afternoon. By Monday morning, Obama then LIED and claimed he had no prior knowledge of Wrights disgusting sermons where he said "God Bless America, NO NO NO God Damn America".



For crying out loud you want a blowhard in office who thinks that filling your cars tires with the proper amount of air and tuning up your engine will cut prices at the pump??? GET REAL DUDE!!!



Your candidate is a moron and will LOSE in November because of it.

Answer 3

Anyone who starts their question with the word "idiots" gets no further reading from me.



Name calling is usually done by the uneducated ones and I mean BOTH sides!!!!

Answer 4

I kind of wonder why all the people who like McCain are called racists by the Obama folks.

Answer 5

You did great research. Nice to see that for a change. As you stated in your question, you also answered it yourself... They are Idiots.